Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Ponzi 2008

We all heard the word 'Ponzi' repeateadly by end of 2008. $50 billion Madoff scheme was hard to comprehend. More disturbing was the names of people got hurt in the process - seasoned investors, economists, banks and charities to name a few.

Paul Krugman was wondering how Madoff story was different from the investment industry as a whole ? His article convincingly concludes that the story was not very different . Instead of creating value, the whole investment industry was destroying the value of assets .

Financial companies have written off billions of their bad assets, a product of their lax lending practices , and pushed the economy into a financial crisis. Credit markets froze and left many businesses with no operating cash and layoffs. The shareholders lost 7 Trillion - a gain of last 6 years - in just one year. Home prices fell forcing a lot of home investors bankrupt. In short, everyone is some way or other had a negative financial impact in 2008.

There are some good signs in people's behavior - though not necessarily good for the economy to recover.Spending: There is a drastic cut in spending as people manages their finances better. People travel less, eat out less or buy less gifts.

Savings: Other than equities and funds, people are increasingly attracted to gold and low risk instruments as an alternative.
Ponzi schemes will always hunt us in some form - As someone pointed out, Social Security funds may be the biggest legal ponzi scheme -:)




Friday, December 12, 2008

Ways to Use Bailout Billions


The workers of Republic Windows and Doors in Chicago came out victorious from their week long sit-ins after the factory was closed due to credit crunch. Republic Windows workers had media attention and Bank of America and JP Morgan were forced to react.. The workers had a question to them: Weren't the billions these banks drawn from the Government, supposed to help the companies like Republic Windows ?

Last month when I posted about Detroit big 3, i thought they were so close to getting the money from Government. However, yesterday Republicans shot it down saying that unions needs to make more.When the republicans backed off ,Whitehouse stepped in to offer them help under TARP. As Friedman says , the investment in GM will be remembered as pouring billions of dollars into CD music business on the eve of the birth of iPods and iTunes.